Must reading, I'm afraid:
"The world has warmed more than one degree Celsius since the Industrial Revolution. The Paris climate agreement—the nonbinding, unenforceable and already unheeded treaty signed on Earth Day in 2016—hoped to restrict warming to two degrees. The odds of succeeding, according to a recent study based on current emissions trends, are one in 20. If by miracle we are able to limit warming to two degrees, we will only have to negotiate the extinction of the world’s tropical reefs, sea-level rise of several meters and the abandonment of the Persian Gulf. The climate scientist James Hansen has called two-degree warming 'a prescription for long-term disaster.' Long-term disaster is now the best-case scenario. Three-degree warming is a prescription for short-term disaster: forests in the Arctic and the loss of most coastal cities. Robert Watson, a former director of the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, has argued that three-degree warming is the realistic minimum. Four degrees: Europe in permanent drought; vast areas of China, India and Bangladesh claimed by desert; Polynesia swallowed by the sea; the Colorado River thinned to a trickle; the American Southwest largely uninhabitable. The prospect of a five-degree warming has prompted some of the world’s leading climate scientists to warn of the end of human civilization.
"Is it a comfort or a curse, the knowledge that we could have avoided all this?
"Because in the decade that ran from 1979 to 1989, we had an excellent opportunity to solve the climate crisis...."
Based on 18 months of reporting and hundreds of interviews. "Complementing the text is a series of aerial photographs and videos, all shot over the past year by George Steinmetz." And yet the article is so sobering that saying "congratulations" to George somehow seems like a misplaced sentiment....
He's a photographer to know, though. "Best known for his exploration and science photography, George Steinmetz sets out to reveal the few remaining secrets in our world today: remote deserts, obscure cultures, and new developments in science and technology. [...] "Since his first assignment for National Geographic in 1987, Steinmetz has completed more than 20 major essays for the magazine, including three covers." (From his bio page at National Geographic.)
There's a portrait of him (by Catherine Converse) here but I can't figure out how to get permission to post it.
It's also interesting that some of his "videos" are in essence "moving stills": a single viewpoint where either the camera moves slowly or the view pans or zooms slowly. (The one entitled "Greenland in July 2017 | The Ice Sheet Is Melting Fast" (of the red dye being released into the ice melt to show current flow) is more like a "real" video showing something specific happening.
Nauru and other tales of our species
The article's right in line with my memories. I heard all about climate change in the 1980s, just by reading Audubon and other nature magazines. It seemed like a "known known," to use the odd locution of Donald Rumsfeld. It's one of the enduring mysteries of my life that it had become a truism by the 1970s that the global ecology was "a delicate balance," and yet by almost every metric we humans have gone ahead and treated it brutally rather than delicately—virtually, it seems, as if it has been our singular mission to upset that balance. If we knew it was a delicate balance, why didn't we act accordingly and treat it as such?
Alas, human beings are extremely good at responding to crises, but not good at all at preventing them or preparing for them. We had a window, but it's closing: "More carbon has been released into the atmosphere since the final day of the Noordwijk conference, Nov. 7, 1989, than in the entire history of civilization preceding it," points out the article's Epilogue.
Two interesting if oblique commentaries that come to mind on the underlying problem in terms of human nature: the accounts of the ancient South-central Andean civilizations of the 6th through the 10th centuries B.C.E., and how they were affected by permanent climate change, recounted in the excellent book 1491: New Revelations of the Americas Before Columbus by Charles C. Mann; and the sad cautionary tale of phosphate mining on the Pacific island nation of Nauru, which (like the proverbial canary in the coal mine) seems to be virtually the fate of the human world and its resources in microcosm and collapsed in time.
Hope?
We were speaking of hope the other day, and I have to believe that human beings will solve this problem eventually. Not by pretending it doesn't exist, which appears to be the official strategy now. But we are extremely resourceful, and our command of science is a formidable weapon when it is bolstered and backed by sufficient will and motivation—as it eventually will be.
It's also fair to mention that as we grow old (and, by definition, closer to inevitable individual death), some humans do tend to grow apocalyptic or pessimistic in their fears of the future. I seem to recall reading that even in the United States, where there was no serious political disruption, there was an upward spike in normal age-related deaths as well as suicides among older people at the end of the 1930s, which sociologists ascribed to fear and hopelessness over the alarming events in Germany and Europe. (The exiled writer Stefan Zweig was driven to suicide in Brazil in 1942 by despair over "the future of humanity"—robbing himself, of course, of the opportunity to witness civilization's eventual triumph over Nazism). And of course there was widespread fear and pessimism over the supposed inevitability of nuclear conflagration in the 1950s and '60s. Really, we have very little imagination about the unforeseen possibilities of the future—compare Dick Tracy's wrist-radio to the iPhone X, for example, and you see what I mean. So it's at least possible that climate change seems so dire to us because we cannot yet imagine what humanity's eventual concerted response will be.
Let us hope.
Mike
Original contents copyright 2018 by Michael C. Johnston and/or the bylined author. All Rights Reserved. Links in this post may be to our affiliates; sales through affiliate links may benefit this site.
B&H Photo • Amazon US • Amazon UK
Amazon Germany • Amazon Canada • Adorama
(To see all the comments, click on the "Comments" link below.)
Featured Comments from:
Peter Wright: "In an interesting coincidence I had just finished reading the full article in the NYT magazine, and flipped over to TOP to see what was up, and lo and behold, today's topic was the article I had just read! I found the magazine article to be an interesting (and long) comment on human psychology more than climate change. There was no new information in there other than Washington's inability to actually do anything, and then to compound the problem with deliberate misinformation, as it does to this day. I would like to have seen more of the photography of Steinmetz. It's illogical, but photographs of isolated cases can actually change public perception, in ways logical arguments and scientific data cannot."
Tim Bradshaw: "(Disclaimer: I work in climate science.) I think that it's not true to say that the global ecology is a delicate balance. We kind of know it's not because the Earth has supported life for several billion years and life has survived events which are significantly worse than what we are now doing, such as the thing which killed the dinosaurs. Life on Earth is really pretty robust: we are not going to destroy it, even with a full-scale nuclear war.
"But don't take this to mean that it will all be OK, because the global ecology is not actually what matters to us. Rather, three things matter to us. Not in order of importance (because that order depends on who is ranking them) they are: will what we are doing cause an extinction event (a geologically-short interval when many species become extinct)? if so, will humans become extinct? finally, if they won't become extinct will a recognisably modern civilisation survive?
"If we keep going the way we are going the answers to these are: yes (this is already well in progress); probably no (humans will survive); almost certainly no (we will be living in a kind of crap version of what things were like in the middle ages).
"As to whether there is hope: there is some, but it is waning fast. There is no real chance of preventing significant extinctions: to give an example the northern sea ice is effectively lost and everything that depends on it will go in the next 30–50 years. But we can act to reduce the scale of the disaster, and in particular to prevent the loss of a recognisable modern civilisation. But to do that we must act: we can't just sit around and wait for someone to act for us. The first step is to stop denying there is a problem, which means at least electing governments which do not simply deny the truth. The second step is to get governments to actually do something rather than mouthing platitudes. Some of what needs to be done will be uncomfortable: fossil-fuel-based energy must almost completely go, nuclear power must get cheap (even if that means it is slightly less absurdly safe than it is now). And so on.
"Will any of this happen? Three years ago I would have, on my brighter days, have said it might; today I see little hope. I have no children, but if you do think of what you are condemning them, and their children, to."
Thom Hogan: "I was still doing work for Rodale when they signed to publish Al Gore's An Inconvenient Truth book. Gore wrote that we had a decade to make the changes necessary to stave off dramatic change. One of the Rodale execs asked me about that statement, as I had been the environment/DC editorialist at Rodale. My response was that he was wrong—we didn't have that much time.
"I'd agree with Tim Bradshaw's comments here. We're not going to wipe out the human race. But we're going to have 1–2b (that's a b, as in billion) people with essentially forced migration to deal with at the extreme.
"The analogy I use is this: if you're driving down the highway and constantly making small course corrections, you make it around the next corner. If you were pointed the wrong direction and don't make course corrections, you wander first across lanes causing chaos around you, then off the road into whatever is alongside it. If at that point you wake up and yank the wheel to try to get back on the road—which is my prediction of the course we're on—you tend to wreck.
"As I get near the end of my life, this is the saddest aspect as I contemplate all that's happened. Sure, much is better now than ever before. But we're leaving a legacy that needs cleaning up, for sure."
This crisis will define my remaining years, and the bulk of my daughter's life. I really think it's a situation where we either work together, or die apart. Thanks for this post.
Posted by: John Krumm | Wednesday, 01 August 2018 at 11:47 AM
Good luck to Xander. As someone a few years older than you, Mike, all I can say is that it's good to be old and childless.
Posted by: Sal Santamaura | Wednesday, 01 August 2018 at 11:54 AM
I was so hopeful back then. Now, I despair that humanity may never rid itself of its innate tendency towards tribalism that apparently was once an evolutionary positive factor for its survival.
I stumbled onto this scientists' blog this morning: https://timescavengers.blog/
Open the Climate Change topic, go to "Ocean Circulation & Stratification".
My take is that once things start moving towards chaos, the slope steepens, and the process will accelerate quite rapidly.
Sorry for the downer - but, knowledge is power, right?
Posted by: MikeR | Wednesday, 01 August 2018 at 12:06 PM
Ironically, Luminous Landscape has shut down all political posts in the 'coffee corner' section of its forum because moderating got so contentious. What's positively bizarre is the assertion that any mention of climate change is 'political', and therefore off limits for discussion.
Somehow I don't think our grandchildren will see it that way in 50 years as they survey what we've done with the planet.
[No. Thirty years from now there will not be a single mentally sane "climate change denier" on the entire planet. --Mike]
Posted by: Geoff Wittig | Wednesday, 01 August 2018 at 12:15 PM
I think that this post and your comments on depression may be two facets of the same underlying condition - humankind's natural optimism. When this naturally occurring optimism is missing, a (depressed) person's life becomes unbearable. On the other hand, an (over)abundance of optimism, unchecked by rational thought, can lead people to expect the best, in spite of overwhelming evidence to the contrary. On an individual basis, this often translates to `someone (else) will fix this'.
Which reminds me of a joke about an engineer, a physicist and a mathematician...
An engineer wakes up in the middle of the night, smells smoke and runs into the kitchen to discover a small fire. She quickly calculates the precise amount of water needed to extinguish the fire, fills a bucket with that much water (plus 5%) and pours it on the fire, promptly extinguishing it.
A physicist wakes up in the middle of the night, smells smoke and runs into the kitchen to discover a small fire. She quickly, fills a bucket to the brim with water and pours it on the fire, promptly extinguishing it.
A mathematician wakes up in the middle of the night, smells smoke and runs into the kitchen to discover a small fire. She quickly convinces herself that there is a solution and goes back to sleep.
(You can switch the roles as you please, depending on your preferences. For the record, I am a mathematician).
YK
Posted by: Yonatan K | Wednesday, 01 August 2018 at 12:17 PM
Scientists tend to be... conservative, as a general rule- I'm not talking politically here, I mean conservative by nature- you know not prone to exaggeration or hyperbole. In fact, they generally don't tend to stray far from what they either can or cannot prove with pretty direct evidence. And I mention this because I think most are really holding back on where we are actually going to avoid being called "alarmists."
Yes, the time to have started doing something serious about climate change was when a certain POTUS tore off the solar panels from the White House roof- and now that piece of real estate is in complete and absolute denial. I don't have any children, but I'd be terrified for their future if I were a parent- the planet we are leaving them will be significantly diminished by the end of this century in ways we are only starting to comprehend...
https://www.newscientist.com/article/2168847-worst-case-climate-change-scenario-is-even-worse-than-we-thought/
https://www.technologyreview.com/s/609620/global-warmings-worst-case-projections-look-increasingly-likely/
Posted by: Stan B. | Wednesday, 01 August 2018 at 12:33 PM
Maybe you should now re-post or link to Monday's "If You Are Depressed" post.
[It sure depresses me. And whenever I meet a denier, I just say, with conviction, "I truly hope you are right!" Because I truly do. --Mike]
Posted by: Wes | Wednesday, 01 August 2018 at 12:34 PM
George's shot of Wollman Rink in Central Park (New York Air) [at his website—Ed.] is pure magic. I love the smattering of brightly colored coats on the left side of the composition.
Posted by: Jim Arthur | Wednesday, 01 August 2018 at 01:10 PM
Yes, but we'll save a couple hundred coal mining jobs in the process!
To say that the US policies in this area are short minded is a huge understatement.
You can screw up a lot of things and go back and fix them later. Unfortunately, Earth isn't one of them.
Anyone with even a hint of intelligence would conclude that it's better to err on the side of worrying too much about climate change than taking the opposite stand.
Posted by: Jonathan | Wednesday, 01 August 2018 at 01:26 PM
"If You Are Depressed", "Take Heart", there is a legitimate reason for this, as our Hmbl Ed will keep us informed of the demise of mankind. On the bright side, you just saved me a lot of money. No need to continue printing and framing with archival materials, there will be no one here to see it.
Posted by: Keith | Wednesday, 01 August 2018 at 01:30 PM
Recently I've been wondering if, as the earth warms, it will start to smell. We might do something about it then.
Posted by: Patrick Dodds | Wednesday, 01 August 2018 at 02:07 PM
Climate change, and other global human problems all come down to one thing: growth - explosive population growth, and our dependence on growth in all our endeavours. Population growth is slowing as economic conditions improve, but we do not know how to live successfully in conditions of flat or declining growth, especially economic growth.
I fear that unless we get a handle on how to do this, our current civilization will fall.
The Earth will be fine; just the present inhabitants won't be.
Posted by: Henning Wulff | Wednesday, 01 August 2018 at 02:08 PM
I think some blame for neglecting that "truism" must go to people like Paul Ehrlich, who in The Population Bomb (1968) warned forcefully of mass starvation of humans in the 1970s and 1980s due to overpopulation. When that didn't happen it was easy for anti-environmentalists to say "Look, the environmentalists don't know what they are talking about".
Unfortunately there seems little chance that the scientists are equally wrong now.
Posted by: David Evans | Wednesday, 01 August 2018 at 02:16 PM
1491 : New Revelations ... links back to TOP, instead of Amazon.
It's very hard to comment on Climate Change without violating your no politics rule. So I'll just say that unlike the revolution, the end-of-the-world will be televised—at a profit.
Posted by: c.d.embrey | Wednesday, 01 August 2018 at 02:22 PM
Boy are you going to get comments.
When I was in elementary school our class took a field trip to the Natural History Museum where we waw four large dioramas representing the last four ice ages. The docent told us that 10,000 years earlier the place we were standing (along the south shore of Lake Erie) had been covered by ice and snow one mile deep. One Mile Deep! And the level of the Pacific Ocean was hundreds of feet lower than today -- so low that humans and animals had walked from Asia to North America on dry land.
Why? How? We simple children asked. We don't know was the response. And we still don't know.
If we don't understand the giant climate dramas of the past, how can we predict a few degrees of warming in the future? And if we have a few degrees of warming in the future, won't we clever humans figure a way to adapt?
I believe that the climate is warming and is likely to continue to warm. Just like it has for the last, very fruitful 10,000 years.
Posted by: Speed | Wednesday, 01 August 2018 at 02:41 PM
Hope?
We were speaking of hope the other day, and I have to believe that human beings will solve this problem eventually.
I'm pessamistic! It's all about ROI. Will it be more profitable to destroy the world or to save it.
Posted by: c.d.embrey | Wednesday, 01 August 2018 at 03:48 PM
Some related news from Germany:
* April, May, June have been too warm. Temperatures were several degrees above the statistical average.
* Right now, we're in the middle of a heatwave; according to the forecasts, there is no end in sight.
* Many regions hardly had any rain since about easter. Farmers request € 1 billion of compensation for crop shortfall from the federal government. In my region, the last month which had average precipitation has been January. All following months were significantly below. According to the weather forecasts, rain isn't expected during the next couple of weeks.
The land in my region is brown, and the trees are already shedding their leaves. I'm 52 now, and I can't remember anything like this. I would be glad if I were able to attribute all this to normal fluctuations of the weather, but it fits into a trend we're experiencing for the last 20 years or so.
If I got this right, metereologists explained this phenomenon with the wind system in the upper atmosphere being unusually quiet this year.
Really scary.
Best, Thomas
Posted by: Thomas Rink | Wednesday, 01 August 2018 at 04:30 PM
" ... we redistribute de facto the world’s wealth by climate policy. ... One has to free oneself from the illusion that international climate policy is environmental policy. This has almost nothing to do with environmental policy ... " —Ottmar Edenhofer, Co-chair of the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Changes Working Group III, and lead author of the IPCC’s 2007 Report
Posted by: George | Wednesday, 01 August 2018 at 04:42 PM
Consider the reliability of such past predictions:
• “...civilization will end within 15 or 30 years unless immediate action is taken against problems facing mankind,” biologist George Wald, Harvard University, April 19, 1970.
• By 1995, “...somewhere between 75 and 85 percent of all the species of living animals will be extinct.” Sen. Gaylord Nelson, quoting Dr. S. Dillon Ripley, Look magazine, April 1970.
• Because of increased dust, cloud cover and water vapor “...the planet will cool, the water vapor will fall and freeze, and a new Ice Age will be born,” Newsweek magazine, January 26, 1970.
• The world will be “...eleven degrees colder in the year 2000. This is about twice what it would take to put us into an ice age,” Kenneth Watt, speaking at Swarthmore University, April 19, 1970.
• “We are in an environmental crisis which threatens the survival of this nation, and of the world as a suitable place of human habitation,” biologist Barry Commoner, University of Washington, writing in the journal Environment, April 1970.
• “Man must stop pollution and conserve his resources, not merely to enhance existence but to save the race from the intolerable deteriorations and possible extinction,” The New York Times editorial, April 20, 1970.
• “By 1985, air pollution will have reduced the amount of sunlight reaching earth by one half...” Life magazine, January 1970.
• “Population will inevitably and completely outstrip whatever small increases in food supplies we make,” Paul Ehrlich, interview in Mademoiselle magazine, April 1970.
• “...air pollution...is certainly going to take hundreds of thousands of lives in the next few years alone,” Paul Ehrlich, interview in Mademoiselle magazine, April 1970.
• Ehrlich also predicted that in 1973, 200,000 Americans would die from air pollution, and that by 1980 the life expectancy of Americans would be 42 years.
• “It is already too late to avoid mass starvation,” Earth Day organizer Denis Hayes, The Living Wilderness, Spring 1970.
• “By the year 2000...the entire world, with the exception of Western Europe, North America and Australia, will be in famine,” Peter Gunter, North Texas State University, The Living Wilderness, Spring 1970
[Relatively little was known about the subject in 1970 (and there's still a huge amount to be learned). The current consensus is that most early predictions were too mild and that the effects of climate change are worse, and are happening faster, than most scientists expected in the '80s and '90s. --Mike]
Posted by: George | Wednesday, 01 August 2018 at 04:50 PM
Two thoughts from a Civil Engineer specializing in marina and beach restoration.
I have several "favorite spots" along the IC Waterway and salt marshes here in North Florida that I've been visiting, fishing from, photographing and had in my thoughts for about 40 years now. I'm 55.
One middle aged mans remembrances do not a data point make but I recall thinking about sea level rise from simple observations a decade before it all was a "thing". I watched many isolated islands, once covered with palms, lose all vegetation from salt water incursion. It was a very gradual thing but it wasn't abstract.
In terms of extinction level catastrophe, I'm a wee bit skeptical. Much can be done but it's very unlikely. I work with more than a few coastal communities doing long term (100 years plus) planning and the retreat vs fortify choices are leaning heavily towards fortify.
Futile? Perhaps. We're a lot bigger than Denmark obviously but waterfront, coastal community property owners are a stubborn bunch.
And not to pick nits but I find it tiresome to keep hearing that this is a uniquely Americam problem. The US isn't the long term scary monster it once was. First world lifestyle ambitions from Africa and Especially Asia (China and India specifically) are an enormous problem. And China is primarily a coal fired country with very little progress on cleaning their coal emissions on any scale that will help... and they continue to grow at an astounding pace
But how does the modern west tell India and the rest of the impoverished but growing world that no, you can't/shouldn't aspire to first world levels of wealth, health care, safety, transportation etc.. It's all based on energy. so do we arrogantly lecture then and say: "Sorry gang, we got ours but you're just going to have to live with second world growth rates and infant mortality rates and etc.. etc.. because Global Warming". It's a ridiculous expectation.. IMO, The answers will lie in technology or they won't come at all.
Posted by: Steve Ducharme | Wednesday, 01 August 2018 at 06:27 PM
On the warming climate.
"Statewide, North Dakota's growing season since 1879 has lengthened by 12 days, says state climatologist Adnan Akyüz at North Dakota State University".
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2013/09/17/climate-change-agriculture-crops/2784561/
We see it here with more growing days than in decades past. Couple that with newer crop varieties that mature more quickly and you see our farmers planting Corn right up to the Canadian border. Something you did not see a couple decades ago. Add in the wet cycle of the last two decades after many of dry years and we have more ponds and sloughs - which means more cattails - which means more blackbirds. They nest in cattails. The upshot is in our area Sunflowers are no longer grown by most farmers as Blackbirds mass on them and eat the seeds. Losing 80% of a crop to blackbirds is not good farming.
Checking with the Climatologists and Weather records we still see the extremes. The winter of 1963/64 saw 63 below zero. Last three winters 34 below was the coldest we have had. Won't be cultivating Palm Trees and Avocado orchards any time soon but a longer growing season in a State dominated by Agriculture does help the bottom line for farmers and ranchers - which helps the States economy a lot.
In spite of the "Flat Earth" jokers even North Dakota isn't that flat.
Posted by: Daniel | Wednesday, 01 August 2018 at 08:09 PM
Hi Mike,
A lot of this was covered by my friend Ronald Wright in his book, and the Canadian Massey lectures series entitled "A short History of Progress".
You can hear the lectures at: https://www.cbc.ca/radio/ideas/the-2004-cbc-massey-lectures-a-short-history-of-progress-1.2946872
and the best selling book is here:
https://houseofanansi.com/pages/search-results?findify_limit=24&findify_q=ronald%20wright
Posted by: Michael Wall | Wednesday, 01 August 2018 at 08:17 PM
In a sad coincidence, the "Coffee Corner" forum over at Luminous Landscape, which is described as "A forum for discussion of topics of a general nature, ideally related to photography but in any event NOT [my emphasis] related to politics," has just noted, by its moderator:
"my unshakeable view is that in this context at least, climate change is politics."
Posted by: Greg Heins | Wednesday, 01 August 2018 at 08:28 PM
You are depressed!
Posted by: Chris | Wednesday, 01 August 2018 at 08:34 PM
I remember January 1963, my first winter at the University of Minnesota in Minneapolis, when the temperature didn't rise above 0° F. for five days in a row, and actually dropped below -30° F. at night a few times. This was typical of the '60s. Nowadays it rarely reaches -20° F. at night in wintertime, a warmup of about 10° F. in my lifetime. So I definitely believe in global warming. (Note: Rather than depend entirely on my sometimes faulty memory, I checked these figures online.)
Posted by: Chuck Holst | Wednesday, 01 August 2018 at 11:25 PM
Thirty years from now there will not be a single mentally sane "climate change denier" on the entire planet. --Mike
Thirty years from now? There's not a single one today.
Posted by: Sal Santamaura | Thursday, 02 August 2018 at 11:00 AM
Here's two from Futurity - the university R&D newsletter worth reading:
Rising sea levels are coming for the internet - Futurity: https://www.futurity.org/rising-sea-levels-internet-cables-1814052/?utm_source=Futurity+Today&utm_campaign=9ca3c671aa-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_18_01_50&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_e34e8ee443-9ca3c671aa-203921845
This one has a strange title: How would alien civilizations deal with climate change? But its most feasible scenario says the population will decline to less than 1/3 todays size due to lack of resources: https://www.futurity.org/aliens-sustainable-civilization-climate-change-astrobiology-1776512/?utm_source=Futurity+Today&utm_campaign=6b820e0021-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_06_04_19&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_e34e8ee443-6b820e0021-203921845
And congratulate my neighbor, Andres Pruna, for his documentary on climate change for KMEX that just won an Emmy: https://player.vimeo.com/video/256976275 (Spanish with English subtitles)
Posted by: JH | Friday, 03 August 2018 at 02:26 AM
Mike, your last nine words include these six: "humanity's eventual concerted response will be". Why are you so presumptuous?
I see no basis in human nature, no evidence, no 'prior art', to assume, or even expect, that such a thing "will be".
C'mon, let's be realistic: this is going to be a global catastrophe that will threaten the very existence of the life form that created it, along with a whole plethora of innocent, bystanding life forms. And not 'one day', like when the sun will go red giant and literally swallow the Earth within its gas cloud. But soon. Really Soon.
And so what? C'est la vie: elle finit.
Posted by: Arg | Friday, 03 August 2018 at 02:49 AM
Mike, Thanks for bringing this topic into the TOP world. It needs all the dissemination it can get. As one who was very environmentally active in the 60's through the 80's (think globally - act locally) my main focus was preservation of landscapes so they couldn't be logged, mined, drilled or grazed. As David Brower once said, if we can't keep our hands off a certain percentage of the earth - say 10% for example - then we have little chance of surviving in the long run.
Unfortunately, the 90% we do have access to has produced enough pollutants and C02 to severely harm us and our earth in multiple ways. Our beautiful wildernesses, parks, preserves and other untouched lands are being impacted to. So preservation has not been enough. If we don't politically and economically drastically reverse course in several arenas (fossil fuels being just one) I have to agree with Tim Bradshaw's assessment. Others here have made excellent comments too. We are ALL in this mess. Soon, I feel, fresh & unpolluted water will be more valuable than any oil that's left.
Posted by: Dave Van de Mark | Friday, 03 August 2018 at 12:31 PM
My daughter is about to get her PhD in "Earth systems science and policy". She is, of course, interesting in getting involved with agencies that are interested in the environment.
So, what responses has she been getting?
Insurance companies that want her to use her modeling magic to set their risk tables so they don't take a bath the next time an unexpectedly strong hurricane or other severe weather shows up in a surprise location.
Because, you know, capitalism.
Posted by: Dave New | Friday, 03 August 2018 at 04:00 PM
Mike, reading your posts is one of the highlights of my day (maybe this says something about my life). Your esoteric interests match my own to a scary degree. While my love for photography initially brought me to your website, it is your 'off topic' posts which I often find most interesting. As far as the appropriateness of political posts, anyone who is apolitical is not contributing much to society. I am pessimistic about the current state of our politics and have little faith, given the stranglehold big money has on congress, that things will improve. I grieve for my children and grandchildren. We are leaving them a vastly degraded planet and a country in danger of becoming another right wing dictatorship. But I continue to resist the greed and corruption of those who would trade democracy for more personal wealth and power.
Posted by: Shelley Stallings | Sunday, 05 August 2018 at 03:12 PM
An interesting counter-point to the NYT article you linked to:
Capitalism Killed Our Climate Momentum, Not “Human Nature” [ https://theintercept.com/2018/08/03/climate-change-new-york-times-magazine/ ]
Posted by: Thomas F. | Monday, 06 August 2018 at 04:18 AM