Richard Newman asks: "Mike, the discussions by Ctein, you, and others, of how long photographs will last, leads me to ask a few questions. There seems to be an assumption that all photographs should be saved forever, no matter what. So I ask: How long is 'forever'? Why all photographs? Will many of these trillions (or more) images be of any value to anyone? In some distant future, will anyone care?" [See the Comments section of the previous post to read Richard's entire comment.]
Mike replies: Obviously what matters most is that our archives remain accessible to us for as long as we might need them. For example, when I started thinking of having this spring's print sale myself, a picture that popped into my mind is a "lakescape" I took in the '80s on 4x5 color film. The work I did in color 4x5 was by far the most popular with other people of all of the photography I've done in my life; it accounted for most of my early sales (as well as most of my early compliments). But I can't find that negative. It's likely that it's in a box in the basement, and might well have been damaged by the humidity and mildew even if I am eventually able to find it. This is a basic failure of preservation.
Another case using myself as an example is that one of my more interesting pictures was taken on a job in the early '90s. It was "work for hire" and I never owned or possessed the negative. I think it's 75% likely that the archives of that employer from that time no longer exist, and that that negative is now gone. So what I'm left with is one small drugstore print that we used as proofs on that job, and one "fine print" on fiber-base paper that I made from the negative at work. Now that I'm thinking of putting together a book of my 60 or so best 35mm pictures—of which that picture would surely be one—you can imagine how important it is to me that the single print I possess was well made on durable materials.
The best case: set-and-forget
Most of everything will be lost over time, no matter what we do. What we're advocating for are a) materials that don't automatically self-destruct, so that the small percentage of them that happen adventitiously to survive can indeed survive; and b) that people think outside of their own immediate individual interests when it comes to the evidence of the things they've witnessed during their time on Earth. It's true that this is no more likely to be of interest to everybody in the future than our work right now is of interest to everybody; but it might be important to somebody, and it might even be important to history, society, or culture.
One problem is that "now" has no idea what "posterity" might value. Ctein used the example of childhood pictures of people who grew up to be President. If your grandson is a future world leader, you can imagine that your pictures of your children will be of great interest to historians—interest that you cannot right now possibly predict.
We just don't know what's going to be worth preserving from where we sit. That's the main reason why I've always been an advocate of image permanence. The example I like to use is from my days as a bookman. There's a class of old books called "incunables"—the word means "from the cradle," and it refers to books printed before 1500. Virtually all of those books were printed using highly archival materials, because that's all they had in those years. A surprising percentage of them survive, because they were extremely valuable and prized right from the time they were printed—not a majority, certainly, but more than you might think. I was briefly the custodian of the rare book collection at a University I attended, and we had one book that dated from 1511 the pages of which looked virtually new—the paper of many of the leaves was flawless white, strong and flexible, the ink crisp and strong black. That's because the inks they used were carbon-based and the paper was made from linen or cotton. They used the very best materials because that's the only way they knew how to do it.
Counterbalancing that is the period just after 1820 or so, when papermakers started to use wood pulp for paper but before they knew about the destructive power of acidifying lignins. Much of the production from that era is fading fast—the pages of books are browned or foxed (mottled), and the paper is becoming brittle and flaking away. Those books will sometimes disintegrate under your fingertips when you turn the pages. Even the books we most want to preserve from that era sometimes require heroic, time-consuming, and expensive measures just to stabilize (arrest their decay). (You have to dismantle them and soak the pages in a deacidification bath, then reassemble them again.)
This situation was mirrored in microcosm in the early days of inkjet printing, except in reverse. Most early inkjet prints faded dramatically and very quickly, especially when exposed to UV sources (sunlight). Very fortunately for us, the problem became a consumer issue—consumer consciousness was raised to the point that buyers were aware of it, meaning that companies could, and did, compete with each other in part by improving the archival quality (life expectancy) of the prints their printers, inksets, and papers produced. This did not have to happen. We might have been stuck with poor print LE in inkjet prints virtually in perpetuity. The existence of the Wilhelm Imaging Research and its established work in the area of permanence, plus, ironically, the extremely poor permance of some early inkjet prints—meaning, they faded fast enough for people to notice—both contributed to public awareness. When most consumers are ignorant of issues like this and poor performance doesn't hurt the manufacturers' bottom lines, they often don't have the impetus to improve. But with consumers clamoring for better print LE and willing to pay for it, the manufacturers quickly developed better papers and workable pigment-based inksets, and even improved the permance of dye-based, consumer-quality inkjet printer prints to an acceptable level.
The ideal situation from a historical preservation standpoint is for all craft-product of items such as photographs to be made as a matter of course to a high standard—in the case of photographic prints, such that they are viewable and stable right from the start and don't require much further attention to remain that way. As I said earlier, most of everything will be lost over time, no matter what we do. That is true even for things we try to preserve. But some things will also survive, just as adventitiously, so that more of the primary sources of the past will be available to posterity—and that's especially true if the survivors aren't crippled by inherent auto-destructive properties.
Ulterior motive
I also mentioned above that I think it's valuable that people "think outside of their own immediate individual interests when it comes to the evidence of the things they've witnessed during their time on Earth." Also in the Comments to the previous post, Doug Dolde asked, "If I am dead who cares?"
I would imagine that if Doug actually thought about that question, he could answer it. The world doesn't end when one person perishes, and usually only teenagers think that the rest of the world ceases to matter when it stops existing specifically in relation to them.
One possible answer, though, is "maybe nobody." A variant of that is "maybe nobody...at the moment." The things we picture are part of the world that exists now, and are usually, by definition, rather common and mundane to those of us who live within that world. But time is a river; the physical world is actually highly impermanent. The reassuringly solid wall you lean against today might have fallen to the wrecker's ball the next time you pass this way. Even in my so-far shortish lifetime, I've seen things disappear from common use and new things come along that didn't exist when I was a kid. The things that we take for granted today could change tomorrow. When my students used to ask why any of this matters, I'd assign them to go do a portrait of Winston Churchill or take a picture of a city streets with rows of Model T Fords parked on either side. Did you watch the BBC video about Paul Trevor the other day? Even in the short time between his 1970s pictures and now, the "look" of Liverpool has changed, as he mentions, almost beyond recognition.
Another answer is, maybe the creator of the work doesn't care if anybody else does or not. A certain percentage of photographers (and all artists, actually) either destroy their own work at or near the end of their lives or leave instructions in their will for that to be done. (Franz Kafka, for instance, who asked the executor of his estate, Max Brod, to burn all of his work. Brod disobeyed, and so the world now has the literary work of Kafka.) Of course, that's anyone's right, even if, as something of an archive-rat, it pains me personally. Maybe the process, not the product, was the point to them; maybe they don't want other people raiding their raw material and distorting their intentions in the future; maybe they don't want their lesser efforts exposed and analyzed later; maybe they just want to be free of the burden and the responsibility for caring for it all. Fair enough.
A few years ago I talked to an employee at a large local antiques/junk shop. They had a large number of old photographs for sale, and I got to talking with him about them. He said he had a much larger collection at home—more than 12,000 old pictures. I told him I'd love to see his collection some time and he said sure, no problem. I was in a rush at the time and didn't even look at more than a few of the pictures at the shop. Only a few months later, I drove by the building, and it was empty. I poked around in back and around the neighborhood, but nobody I could find knew the name of the man I'd talked to or where I could find him. Opportunity lost.
I would imagine that many of those 12,000 prints would make for pretty dull viewing. Most were probably portraits, or, in the words of the old joke, "pictures of people having their pictures taken." Of course, all of those now-dead, now-nameless people once lived, and you can hardly live without having things happen to you—there are stories to tell about most of those people. In some cases maybe the pictures were rich enough to suggest their stories. The stories behind pictures are preservatives, too. Tell an interesting enough story about a photograph and the photograph becomes richer and more enjoyable to look at. I'll just say one thing—I'll bet I could have found at least a few photographic masterpieces in that collection.
Finally, I want to confess to one ulterior motive that I have, personally, when I advocate for image permanence as an abstract concept. I'm aware that some of my motivation is selfish. My photographic education really was much more extensive than most peoples', owing to the literally thousands of hours I have spent experiencing photographs—in the Library of Congress and the National Archives, looking through the stocks of photo galleries, making the rounds on a regular basis of the galleries of Washinton and New York during my student years and their aftermath, and looking through many less formal collections as well. So I've gotten a lot from old "survivor" photographs—much more than most people have.
But the ulterior motive is this. Remember when I mentioned the other day that I rediscovered the notebook containing many of my very earliest negatives? One thing that struck me strongly in reviewing that notebook now is the nosedive in interest—"content-quality," maybe we could call it—that my pictures took when my attention switched from things that I thought were worth taking pictures of to experiments with the photographic process itself. It's quite pronounced, and it's discouraging. At a specific point in my exploration I started to try out different films and developers, different lenses, tripods and monopods, and so on, and the quality of the pictures themselves goes all to shit. Before that I was taking pictures of things and people that interested me. After it, I was taking pictures of tree trunks and leaves and things local to me that looked vaguely scenic. The pictures are worthless.
So I do have this conviction that if people could somehow put themselves in the place of other people viewing their photographs in the future, their work would improve. That audience includes your heirs, your friends, your future self. I've been taking pictures all my life, but there are so many things, so many people, so many places, that were important to me, that I don't have pictures of. In the future, neither you nor anybody else is going to care a whit about how saturated your reds are or how little noise you've got in the shadows. They, and you, are going to care what's in the pictures—the stories behind them, what they meant to you, why they were important. I simply believe that if we were to try to second-guess posterity, it would make our work better. And in that way, mulling over image permanence and the reasons for it—the philosophical basis of it, you might even say—can have an effect on how we conceive of what we're doing when we photograph. We'll make better pictures now if we try to show things that people might continue to find interesting and significant as time goes on. That's a prejudice; it might not be true; but it's something I believe.
Mike
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Featured Comment by Dave Levingston: "This discussion brought to mind a couple stories.
"I recently got an email from a woman that said something like: 'You took photos of me for a fashion spread in the newspaper in 1970. Do you still have those photos? Could I get copies of them?'
"Those negs should have been in the files that got pitched from the newspaper when they moved to a new building many years ago. But sometimes I kept negatives of things I liked, and I seemed to remember that I had those negs at one time. I went up to the attic and the first file drawer I opened had a folder labeled 'Hippy Fashions' and contained some, though not all, of the contact sheets and negs from that shoot. I scanned the photos of her and sent her the files.
"Here is some of what she wrote back:
Thank you from the bottom of my heart..really. Seeing photos of me then brought tears to my eyes..in a good way. So many years have passed and I still remember that day and so appreciate experiencing it again. Thank you for sharing it with me. I mean to say thank you for giving me that day, then and again now.
"This reminded me of just what a wonderful time machine a camera is.
"Another good (and certainly more significant) story: Edward Weston's mother died when he was young and he was pretty much raised by his older sister. They remained very close throughout their lives. The sister ended up living in Middletown, Ohio, between Dayton and Cincinnati, near where I live. That was where Edward did what are known as his first modernistic photographs when he photographed the steel mill in Middletown.
"Throughout his life whenever Edward would do a photo he was proud of he would mail a print to his sister. I love the fact that often he would simply fold the print in half and use a standard envelope. Of course the sister is long dead. Her son, Edward's nephew, is an old man. They were getting ready to sell the family home and when cleaning it out they found a stack of photo prints sitting on the floor in the back of a closet. Yep, all original signed Edward Weston prints...many with that crease in the middle from when he mailed them. They took the prints to the Dayton Art Institute and the institute mounted a wonderful show and published a book.
"It certainly does help to be both good and famous."
Stephen Poliakoff made a wonderful television drama that deals with this subject, "Shooting The Past": "Shooting the Past delves into a world quite separate from modern life, and demonstrates that the preservation of the past, in order to tell the extraordinary stories of the lives of ordinary people, can be astonishingly powerful and revealing".
Very moving and a must for all those interested in photography.
Link: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shooting_the_Past
Posted by: Stein | Saturday, 18 June 2011 at 03:54 PM
"Most of everything will be lost over time"
M. J.
You reminded me of this:
http://www.poets.org/viewmedia.php/prmMID/15212
Posted by: eugenio | Saturday, 18 June 2011 at 03:56 PM
well, time to revisit Roland Barthes' "Lucid Camera". The first part on "studium" and " punctum" offers a criterion when and why a photograph is interesting. The second part, more interesting in my opinion, is about "time" as the punctum (chapter 39), photography as the "it has been" (chapter 47). Roland Barthes discusses that "the freeze of time" is what makes photographic imaging completly different from painting or from movies.
yes, photography is a time freezer, and this is why you need to keep a few of your images around..
Posted by: Sebastian Schanze | Saturday, 18 June 2011 at 05:05 PM
Mike,
Somedays you're good. Today you were very good, Thanks. -- RC
Posted by: Richard | Saturday, 18 June 2011 at 08:54 PM
So:
Take pictures of stuff because you like it.
Take the time to learn the technique, if having "better" pictures is valuable to you.
Go through the effort of preserving pictures and images in a more permanent way, if they reflect something about your character and nature that you feel is meaningful to preserve and pass on.
If there is any other residual value, let history figure that out for itself.
Posted by: Peter | Saturday, 18 June 2011 at 10:28 PM
My definition of archival is medieval illumination. CU Boulder has a nice collection of leaves from manuscripts, some of which are on the order of 1000 years old, and I had a chance to handle some of them a while back. These objects are exquisite. The parchment is still clear, the inks are vivid and dense as the day they were written. Even the guide marks that the monks used to align the writing are still legible.
It seems to me that as the transmission of data has become easier over time, the care that we take to make sure that later generations can read that data has declined. "Archival" prints nowadays are rated to last 200 years. An oil painting can last 500+ years with care. Yesterday I was talking to someone about ways to make data last, and made the remark that the best you can do is to etch it in stone: nothing else is anything near as archival. Well, almost: the paleolithic drawings in Chauvet's Cave go back 35,000 years, and are the oldest known man-made images. Otherwise, we're talking fired clay tablets from Sumer, and Egyptian inscriptions, things literally carved in stone, or at least in fired clay.
I feel that we don't think as much of our work as we used to, to take such little care that later generations can know us.
Posted by: Archer | Saturday, 18 June 2011 at 10:47 PM
Archival color inkjet prints now will probably last longer (at least on display) than previous photo technologies. Probably not as good as B&W. Probably not as good as oil painting. In terms of "what it means" that we care about 200-year permanence, to me it means that we know are materials aren't at the top line yet, and we're still interested in improvements. But they're now easily in line with, or better than, many other artistic media -- watercolors and such, for example.
Posted by: David Dyer-Bennet | Sunday, 19 June 2011 at 01:15 AM
Dear Archer,
These are all good examples of the extrema, as opposed to the common and practical. They tell you how long such an artifact might last, not how long most of them last.
I can reasonably predict, based on know the establish physical and chemical properties of the components, as well as established historical behavior, that a decently-made toned silver-gelatin print on fiber-base paper can potentially last more than a millennium. Probably several.
I'm not expecting many of them to make it that long.
pax / Ctein
Posted by: ctein | Sunday, 19 June 2011 at 01:44 AM
@Archer,
Unless a dipstick tries to build a subway under an archive as happened in Cologne, Germany. They lost a complete record of the city to water, frost, dust, mold, etc. One little (eh 2 people lost their lives in the proces so make that LARGE ) mistake in 2000 years of history is enough to end everything.
http://www.spiegel.de/international/germany/0,1518,612129,00.html
Greetings, Ed
Posted by: Ed | Sunday, 19 June 2011 at 02:27 AM
Tangential to your main point, but when you said
I was reminded of a Wendy Ewald book where she gave cameras to kids, who then photographed what was meaningful to them. My equipment and technique are better than theirs, but many of their pictures are more interesting than mine. Sigh...Posted by: Globules | Sunday, 19 June 2011 at 03:22 AM
the path of life brings us for decisions difficult to make I decision to lose my " life backpack what means everything " and travel to africa only with a bag a camera a mac and not much money. Was born in the 50's of the last century was working as a photographer for many many years so beside my darkroom studio equipment I also had to trow away my negatives ALL the first pics from the cameras I owned the zorky or mamiya 330 or the hasselblad or tha sinar 4by5 or the work I made in cuba was one of the first photographers there had nice exhibitions with it all the travels all gone. I can tell you trow your work away is painful and need a good glass of good wine after. The digital work I want take with me with a mobile drive I lost a week before I left it crashed. So no visible memory lane anymore I can tell it free the mind it make me more aware of the now and the knowledge that we most be living free. I think keep your best 60 pictures is a good idea drink a good grass of good wine and let it all go become free.
Hans
Posted by: Hans Agterdenbos | Sunday, 19 June 2011 at 04:36 AM
As another Richard ("RC") said, "Today you were very good, Thanks."
This line in particular struck a nerve:
"In the future, neither you nor anybody else is going to care a whit about how saturated your reds are or how little noise you've got in the shadows. They, and you, are going to care what's in the pictures—the stories behind them, what they meant to you, why they were important."
Thinking of buying a good camera phone today to make sure these daily snapshots don't dissappear. And then start working on the rest of the imaging preservation pipeline : )
Posted by: Richard T | Sunday, 19 June 2011 at 05:34 AM
Very good post. Thoughtful, mature and real. Not going to be appreciated by people only counting the lines in the corners of resolution-charts, but that isn't the point.
Posted by: MartinP | Sunday, 19 June 2011 at 07:14 AM
I'd agree photo-books are a good idea; even works colleages' holiday snaps are interesting, there is just something about a book that is inherently appealing I guess.
I’ve got some digital photos recently of 1930’s adverts in faded paint on house walls for now defunct petrol (gasoline) companies; ephemera of ephemera of ephemera perhaps?
all the best phil
Posted by: phil | Sunday, 19 June 2011 at 07:29 AM
Actually, Wilhelm Imaging Research (WIR) contributed to the problem of early ink jet print fading, not helped it. WIR concentrated on light-induced fade and largely ignored fading from ozone (even though others noted this issue at the time).
Te result was that WIR gave its top ratings to some ink jet products that quickly underwent drastic color changes due to ambient ozone.
Even after WIR started including ozone fade tests in its ratings, a number of the products it tested showed only a "test in progress" designation that persisted for years,even though ozone evaluation takes much less test time than other fade tests.
Other researchers contended that at least some of these products in fact had poor ozone stability.
Posted by: PhotoSci | Sunday, 19 June 2011 at 08:24 AM
"... you can imagine that your pictures of your children will be of great interest to historians—interest that you cannot right now possibly predict."
About the importance of photographs, this was also published Saturday ...
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/national/prairies/duchess-will-visit-alberta-site-where-her-grandfather-trained-pilots/article2066336/
“Our main focus is to have actual, documented, real proof that he was here”
"Mr. Greig could help with that: He says he has photos of Mr. Middleton and the other officers at a graduation dinner for a group of trainee pilots. But he plans to give Kate first dibs before publishing them."
Think what you want about royalty. All of a sudden a family's history is worth documenting. And photographs that were important to a few now become important to many.
Good articles Mike. Lots to think about.
Robert,
Winnipeg
Posted by: Robert Szkolnicki | Sunday, 19 June 2011 at 09:06 AM
Ashes to ashes and dust to dust BUT:
I look at photography as competing for longevity with pigment based art like oil paintings. Should a photo last hundreds and hundreds of years, like the oldest oil paintings? Probably not yet but, that should be a long term goal.
The longest lasting “art” form is sculpture. See Egyptian history for how long is long for 3D art. If you really want your work to endure, switch to stone. But even stone is worn away, blown away, and its original purpose forgotten with the sands of time.
However, duplication is something that keeps things lasting longer. Another ancient practice done by Rome then Western cultures.
Posted by: Joe | Sunday, 19 June 2011 at 11:31 AM
Human beings are so diverse in their thoughts about what is important. An acquaintance of mine and I were recently having a conversation about travel we have been fortunate enough to enjoy over many years. He was talking about a trip he had taken with his father when he was a young man and said he remembered a picture of him and his father fishing. He said that day of fishing had been, for him a highlight of the trip. I asked if he had the picture and he said he might have it somewhere but he had no idea of where to start looking. But I got the impression that, for him, actually holding the picture in his hand was not important; the memory of the picture was enough to trigger the memory of the day.
Human beings, if they have the time and resources are, by nature, creative. This takes many different forms… music, painting, writing, photography etc. and the importance of these endeavors varies widely from person to person. If you spend your life figuring out how to keep your family from starvation a photographic record of your family is way down your list of priorities.
But then the question arises: what is important. No one can answer this question for another person. We can’t really miss something we did not know existed. I suppose we may have an undefined feeling that we are missing something but there’s no way to know that for sure.
And, our idea of importance lasts only as long as we do. At one point the compositions of J.S. Bach, the art of Picasso and the photos of Ansel Adams were really important to those artists. But they care not one wit about them today. Because they were creative geniuses their work has remained important to a great many people but not to all.
I hope the pictures I make of my children and grandchildren will someday be important to them and that hope and that possibility make me want to preserve what I’m creating today. I’m also sure that the pictures I made of mountains and rivers last year in Zion National Park will not be important to them at all and once I’m gone I won’t care either.
Posted by: M. G. Van Drunen | Sunday, 19 June 2011 at 11:48 AM
"the care that we take to make sure that later generations can read that data has declined"
I don't know...is it really fair to judge our mundane against antiquity's best?
I mean, surviving documents may prove that the best materials and best craft make a difference, but they can't prove that that a great many things weren't made poorly, kept poorly, and didn't last, back in the day. We can judge the best techniques and materials of the day from what survives, but what can we know of the worst?
Medieval illuminated manuscripts, for example, were the province of well-trained and highly disciplined archivists, but what about lesser contemporary documents--symbols or drawings or words that were scratched out on scraps of paper, rags, skins and future kindling as iou's, tokens of affection, talismans, orders, receipts, battle maps, etc. by untrained non-librarians who didn't much care whether they lasted longer than a particular use and were more concerned with repurposing valued materials than preserving the contents?
Oil paintings require some minimum of proper materials and technique, as well as care in handling and storage. In many ways, this is easier to do now than it was hundreds of years ago. Surviving cave paintings happen to have been in dark storage in climate controlled environments. For all we know, exposed rocks outside those caves were festooned with important art that weathered away quickly.
Meanwhile, as Mike outlined in a previous post, we've developed some pretty lasting stuff, not to mention the revolutionary role of photography as a tool of archiving and conservation.
But this is so much academic digression to the sound premise that care is probably the biggest factor in whether something lasts or not.
Posted by: robert e | Sunday, 19 June 2011 at 12:57 PM
I thought the commenter's advice on the other page about taking extra steps with a small selection of "best of" is good. I have the best of folder, but haven't satisfied myself with what extra steps for it. (I also save everything else on at least two hard drives.)
I have a nagging concern about image formats in future years. Native RAW formats for different camera models have been piling up, supported after delays, in Photoshop, etc., but even the oldest DSLRs are only a decade old. I'm inclined to think support for older RAW formats may dry up another decade on - the danger then being not that images are physically destroyed but that there is no consumer software left to look at them or edit them. (Of course one expects institutional archives will be saving all this technology for another century or two, but only for specialists and special collections, not everybody's great-grandchildren.) It seems that convertion to something like Adobe's DNG or lossless TIFF is likely to emerge as the answer but I'm not certain of it yet.
Posted by: Albin | Sunday, 19 June 2011 at 01:29 PM
"but even the oldest DSLRs are only a decade old."
Albin,
21 years old. The first DSLR was the $30k Kodak DCS-100, built on a Nikon body, in 1990.
Mike
Posted by: Mike Johnston | Sunday, 19 June 2011 at 02:51 PM
@Archer:
When comparing the quality of the past to the present, you need to be very careful about selection bias. It's like the people who say that houses were made better 100 years ago because the 100 year old houses today are so nice. But you're not dealing with a random selection of houses built 100 years ago; the ones that were shoddily built have mostly fallen or been knocked down, so only the well built ones are still around.
Similarly, we only know about the really durable records from Egypt and Sumeria. We don't know how much of their work was shoddy, third rate junk that didn't outlast its owners because by definition that stuff hasn't lasted until today to let us know.
On a slightly unrelated point, it's worth pointing out that the best hope of preserving your work is to make it worth copying. Even the most durable medium with the best care has a finite lifespan. We don't have the originals of the Bible or any of the great classical authors, but we still know their words because people thought they were worth copying again and again. If you want your work to last as long as theirs, the best hope is to make it able to transcend its medium as theirs has.
Posted by: Roger Moore | Sunday, 19 June 2011 at 03:05 PM
Very nice piece Mike, thanks!
Posted by: Nick | Sunday, 19 June 2011 at 03:32 PM
@Albin:
There's some hope with Free/Open Source programs. David Coffin's DCRaw is able to decode raw files from cameras going back to the Kodak DCS 200 (vintage 1992). Since the source code is available and it's written relatively robustly, it should be available for as long as anyone wants to keep redistributing it. Admittedly that's not as good as an open format like JPEG or DNG, but it's better than trusting Adobe to keep supporting your camera. (Though programs that use DCRaw internally for their conversion will presumably keep all the formats that DCRaw supports.)
Posted by: Roger Moore | Sunday, 19 June 2011 at 09:50 PM
Albin, I always love reading FUD about raw image support disappearing. If your format is supported by DCRAW (http://www.cybercom.net/~dcoffin/dcraw/#cameras) your raw files will be decodable long after you're dead, should anyone care enough to try. The edits you've made to your raw file in Lightroom/DPP/Aperture/Bibble/whatever? They may disappear, which is why you should always save a tiff of your raw file after you've processed it--at least for your best images.
Posted by: James | Sunday, 19 June 2011 at 11:02 PM
The permanence of a photograph can be an archival print, backed up files or the web. Once something gets posted somewhere on the Internet, it gains a life of its own, replicated in duplicate data centers - half of Googles traffic - 7% of all Internet traffic - is machine to machine duplication of data at data centers. There is even the "Wayback Machine" that is recording archives of old websites. I found some of mine back 17 years, to the beginning of the web!
But permanence can go further than that.
Back in the 50s, Howard Wolery, my high school art teacher, attended many sports car races in the US and took many photos. As he aged and was hobbled by Parkinsons, he asked me to take care of them. I digitized them and put them on my website, then gave them to the Watkins Glen Racing Library which is collecting and cataloguing racing photos, programs, etc.
I did the same with thousands of my own photos of races in the 60s and 70s. I gave the library the negatives, what prints I had (including several autographed by Carroll Shelby) and files of the scans.
In addition, hundreds of those photos have now been preserved because they have been reproduced in books, magazines and on other websites (with my permission.)
I am regularly getting emails from people who are in the photos or now own cars pictured, wanting copies or help in authenticating cars, often during restoration (Want to know what color the Austin Healey was that Stirling Moss drove at Sebring in 1955 or what sponsor decals were on the Ford GT that won Sebring in '67?)
My favorite was providing a big auction house Howard's photos of Briggs Cunningham for a catalog when they were selling his Rolex (it brought $2.4million euros, I believe!) The payment was substantial - and donated to the WG library in Howard's name - sadly he died the week before it was published.
While I never expect anyone to want to see the arty stuff I shot 50 years ago or maybe even the 2000 shots from the safari last month, the ones I shot that document some history have real value to many people.
BTW, I have also convinced several others to donate thousands more racing photos to the WG library. If you have photos of historic value, there may be someone interested.
Posted by: J Hayes | Monday, 20 June 2011 at 01:06 AM
If even one archive saves a copy of the software for some particular RAW format for 200 years, I expect it'll still be accessible to anybody who finds files in that format. Short of a collapse of technological civilization, I expect knowledge to become more accessible as time passes.
Posted by: David Dyer-Bennet | Monday, 20 June 2011 at 08:36 AM
@ M. G. Van Drunen
"... I’m also sure that the pictures I made of mountains and rivers last year in Zion National Park will not be important to them at all ..."
Funny, that comment resonated with me. I was there also, same time, and other places out that way. And I look at it differently. Through those pictures my children, etc, catch a glimpse of who I was, my interests, my viewpoint, my "talents", aspects of me that they would not know otherwise. My kids actually hang some of my work on their walls - they're my most important clients - I will continue to live through them. Photos can be pretty valuble that way.
Posted by: Al Benas | Tuesday, 21 June 2011 at 06:14 AM
The loss of even one snapshot is still a loss. It's a (very) small piece in the puzzle of who we are and what we do.
Living now, how can we possibly predict what will be of interest to historians/anthropologists of the future?
It is true that on a case by case basis, very few photos have sufficient merit in themselves to be worth preserving, but en masse they say a lot about our culture, values and beliefs.
I think if our knowledge of history was based purely on 'works of art' (in whatever medium) it would be greatly distorted - largely because such works are conceived with a view of what others may think.
Fortunately our 'official' view of the past is balanced by a wealth of folk art, letters, diaries etc. which have survived. Doubtless these were considered of little value by the people of the time (or even the creators) yet are of immense value now.
With so much of 21st century life being recorded on impermenant/disposable media, I think there is a very good chance that historians of the 24th century will have a better record of the Victorians than they do of us.
Posted by: Colin Work | Thursday, 23 June 2011 at 07:56 AM