Well, the big USA trade show in Vegas, PMA, is less than a month away now—it actually starts in January this year—and already the internets are abuzz with rumors of new camera introductions. I don't follow this stuff very closely, but that's only because I'm jaded and grumpy. So I figured I'd throw out a few of the more reliable-sounding rumors I've heard and let knowledgeable commenters fill in the rest.
Sony A200 will replace Sony A100—there are already pictures surfacing.
Pentax K20D—rumors abound about this one, the replacement for the well-received (and good-selling) K10D. Lots of guesspecs on the 'net but nothing really known yet. (Pentax are pretty disciplined about non-disclosure.)
Pentax K200D will replace Pentax K100D.
Canon Rebel XTi replacement. I don't really know anything about this, but that's what they're saying on the dpreview forums. Ahem.
Canon 5D replacement is eagerly awaited but might not show up just yet. Or, it might.
Nikon D60 will replace D40x. But it's not certain for PMA.
Leica M9 will replace M8. Probably won't be shipping anytime soon if it does appear. Remember the ultra-dependable old adage: "Leica makes haste slowly."
Another interesting rumor has Leica branding its own version of the E-3. No telling, but if it comes with a corollary promise of prime Summicrons for the 4/3rds system, I'll jump on board and hope along with the best of 'em. Some pipe dreams are too important to be put off by little things like reality.
And what about the full-frame (FX) Nikon 5D competitor that I wrote/salivated about a while back? Not happening. Remember, I predicted at least an 8 month selling window for the D3 before another ff Nikon comes along. (Hey, my crystal ball is right so far, and as long as it's right I'm gonna pretend I actually have a clue.) Thom Hogan thinks it may be longer than that. Thom knows a lot more about the future than I do.
And what about the APS-C compact I keep pining for? Ear pressed hard to ground, but no hoofbeats, alas. But hope springs eternal in the not-so-savage breast. (That's the quote; it's not "beast.")
Sony A900 ff? Don't think so. Too soon.
Point-and-shoots? Like anybody cares.
Note that these are all rumors; the only way I can write about this stuff is because I don't know anything. If I knew anything, I would have had to promise not to say.
How about you? Heard anything else good? (And let's leave out that fantasy rumor about the Nikon M-mount rangefinder, shall we? If anything like that shows up at PMA, I'll eat it. Of course, for me to eat it they'd have to send me one first....)
Featured Comment by Ken Tanaka: "A rumor that's been rumbling about for at least a year:
"Canon will enter the medium format world with a new camera, a new line of lenses and a digital back. The price point of a lens/camera/back kit will be in the range of $12,000-$14,000. Whether or not the back will be compatible with existing m.f. cameras (excluding the new Hassies, of course) is unclear. There are people who claim to know people who have tested this product line in the past year or so.
"Of course there are also people who claim to know people who have been abducted by aliens. So who knows. But it makes some sense. There is very little room for Canon to expand in the 35mm DSLR world. The Phase and Leaf products are just begging to be swatted into oblivion. Hassie has closed itself into its private little room. The market is wide open.
"Again, just a rumor."